DF-TAR: A deep fusion network for citywide traffic accident risk prediction with dangerous driving behavior

Abstract

Because traffic accidents cause huge social and economic losses, it is of prime importance to precisely predict the traffic accident risk for reducing future accidents. In this paper, we propose a Deep Fusion network for citywide Traffic Accident Risk prediction (DF-TAR) with dangerous driving statistics that contain the frequencies of various dangerous driving offences in each region. Our unique contribution is to exploit these statistics, obtained by processing the data from in-vehicle sensors, for modeling the traffic accident risk. Toward this goal, we first examine the correlation between dangerous driving offences and traffic accidents, and the analysis shows a strong correlation between them in terms of both location and time. Specifically, quick start (0.83), rapid acceleration (0.76), and sharp turn (0.76) are the top three offences that have the highest average correlation scores. We then train the DF-TAR model using the dangerous driving statistics as well as external environmental features. By extensive experiments on various frameworks, the DF-TAR model is shown to improve the accuracy of the baseline models by up to 54% by virtue of the integration of dangerous driving into the modeling of traffic accident risk. © 2021 ACM.