Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study

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dc.contributor.authorTobias, Aurelioko
dc.contributor.authorHashizume, Masahiroko
dc.contributor.authorHonda, Yasushiko
dc.contributor.authorSera, Francescoko
dc.contributor.authorNg, Chris Fook Shengko
dc.contributor.authorKim, Yoonheeko
dc.contributor.authorRoye, Dominicko
dc.contributor.authorChung, Yeonseungko
dc.contributor.authorTran Ngoc Dangko
dc.contributor.authorKim, Hoko
dc.contributor.authorLee, Whanheeko
dc.contributor.authorIniguez, Carmenko
dc.contributor.authorVicedo-Cabrera, Anako
dc.contributor.authorAbrutzky, Rosanako
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yumingko
dc.contributor.authorTong, Shiluko
dc.contributor.authorZanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline de Sousako
dc.contributor.authorNascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilarioko
dc.contributor.authorLavigne, Ericko
dc.contributor.authorMatus Correa, Patriciako
dc.contributor.authorValdes Ortega, Nicolasko
dc.contributor.authorKan, Haidongko
dc.contributor.authorOsorio, Samuelko
dc.contributor.authorKysely, Janko
dc.contributor.authorUrban, Alesko
dc.contributor.authorOrru, Hansko
dc.contributor.authorIndermitte, Eneko
dc.contributor.authorJaakkola, Jouni J. K.ko
dc.contributor.authorRyti, Niilo R., Iko
dc.contributor.authorPascal, Mathildeko
dc.contributor.authorHuber, Veronikako
dc.contributor.authorSchneider, Alexandrako
dc.contributor.authorKatsouyanni, Kleako
dc.contributor.authorAnalitis, Antonisko
dc.contributor.authorEntezari, Alirezako
dc.contributor.authorMayvaneh, Fatemehko
dc.contributor.authorGoodman, Patrickko
dc.contributor.authorZeka, Arianako
dc.contributor.authorMichelozzi, Paolako
dc.contributor.authorde'Donato, Francescako
dc.contributor.authorAlahmad, Barrakko
dc.contributor.authorHurtado Diaz, Magaliko
dc.contributor.authorDe la Cruz Valencia, Cesarko
dc.contributor.authorOvercenco, Alako
dc.contributor.authorHouthuijs, Dannyko
dc.contributor.authorAmeling, Carolineko
dc.contributor.authorRao, Shilpako
dc.contributor.authorDi Ruscio, Francescoko
dc.contributor.authorCarrasco, Gabrielko
dc.contributor.authorSeposo, Xerxesko
dc.contributor.authorNunes, Baltazarko
dc.contributor.authorMadureira, Joanako
dc.contributor.authorHolobaca, Iulian-Horiako
dc.contributor.authorScovronick, Noahko
dc.contributor.authorAcquaotta, Fiorellako
dc.contributor.authorForsberg, Bertilko
dc.contributor.authorAstrom, Christoferko
dc.contributor.authorRagettli, Martina S.ko
dc.contributor.authorGuo, Yue-Liang Leonko
dc.contributor.authorChen, Bing-Yuko
dc.contributor.authorLi, Shanshanko
dc.contributor.authorColistro, Valentinako
dc.contributor.authorZanobetti, Antonellako
dc.contributor.authorSchwartz, Joelko
dc.contributor.authorDo Van Dungko
dc.contributor.authorArmstrong, Benko
dc.contributor.authorGasparrini, Antonioko
dc.date.accessioned2022-05-16T09:02:22Z-
dc.date.available2022-05-16T09:02:22Z-
dc.date.created2022-05-16-
dc.date.created2022-05-16-
dc.date.issued2021-10-
dc.identifier.citationENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY, v.5, no.5-
dc.identifier.issn2474-7882-
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10203/296564-
dc.description.abstractBackground: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to derive the MMT for each community using Poisson regression with distributed lag nonlinear models. We investigated the variation in MMT by climatic zone using a mixed-effects meta-analysis and explored the association with climatic and socioeconomic indicators. Results: The geographical distribution of MMTs varied considerably by country between 14.2 and 31.1 degrees C decreasing by latitude. For climatic zones, the MMTs increased from alpine (13.0 degrees C) to continental (19.3 degrees C), temperate (21.7 degrees C), arid (24.5 degrees C), and tropical (26.5 degrees C). The MMT percentiles (MMTPs) corresponding to the MMTs decreased from temperate (79.5th) to continental (75.4th), arid (68.0th), tropical (58.5th), and alpine (41.4th). The MMTs indreased by 0.8 degrees C for a 1 degrees C rise in a community's annual mean temperature, and by 1 degrees C for a 1 degrees C rise in its SD. While the MMTP decreased by 0.3 centile points for a 1 degrees C rise in a community's annual mean temperature and by 1.3 for a 1 degrees C rise in its SD. Conclusions: The geographical distribution of the MMTs and MMTPs is driven mainly by the mean annual temperature, which seems to be a valuable indicator of overall adaptation across populations. Our results suggest that populations have adapted to the average temperature, although there is still more room for adaptation.-
dc.languageEnglish-
dc.publisherLIPPINCOTT WILLIAMS & WILKINS-
dc.titleGeographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale: A Multicountry Study-
dc.typeArticle-
dc.identifier.scopusid2-s2.0-85124185051-
dc.type.rimsART-
dc.citation.volume5-
dc.citation.issue5-
dc.citation.publicationnameENVIRONMENTAL EPIDEMIOLOGY-
dc.identifier.doi10.1097/EE9.0000000000000169-
dc.contributor.localauthorChung, Yeonseung-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorTobias, Aurelio-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorHashizume, Masahiro-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorHonda, Yasushi-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorSera, Francesco-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorNg, Chris Fook Sheng-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorKim, Yoonhee-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorRoye, Dominic-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorTran Ngoc Dang-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorKim, Ho-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorLee, Whanhee-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorIniguez, Carmen-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorVicedo-Cabrera, Ana-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorAbrutzky, Rosana-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorGuo, Yuming-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorTong, Shilu-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorZanotti Stagliorio Coelho, Micheline de Sousa-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorNascimento Saldiva, Paulo Hilario-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorLavigne, Eric-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorMatus Correa, Patricia-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorValdes Ortega, Nicolas-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorKan, Haidong-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorOsorio, Samuel-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorKysely, Jan-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorUrban, Ales-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorOrru, Hans-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorIndermitte, Ene-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorJaakkola, Jouni J. K.-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorRyti, Niilo R., I-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorPascal, Mathilde-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorHuber, Veronika-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorSchneider, Alexandra-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorKatsouyanni, Klea-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorAnalitis, Antonis-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorEntezari, Alireza-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorMayvaneh, Fatemeh-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorGoodman, Patrick-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorZeka, Ariana-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorMichelozzi, Paola-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorde'Donato, Francesca-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorAlahmad, Barrak-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorHurtado Diaz, Magali-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorDe la Cruz Valencia, Cesar-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorOvercenco, Ala-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorHouthuijs, Danny-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorAmeling, Caroline-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorRao, Shilpa-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorDi Ruscio, Francesco-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorCarrasco, Gabriel-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorSeposo, Xerxes-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorNunes, Baltazar-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorMadureira, Joana-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorHolobaca, Iulian-Horia-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorScovronick, Noah-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorAcquaotta, Fiorella-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorForsberg, Bertil-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorAstrom, Christofer-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorRagettli, Martina S.-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorGuo, Yue-Liang Leon-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorChen, Bing-Yu-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorLi, Shanshan-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorColistro, Valentina-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorZanobetti, Antonella-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorSchwartz, Joel-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorDo Van Dung-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorArmstrong, Ben-
dc.contributor.nonIdAuthorGasparrini, Antonio-
dc.description.isOpenAccessN-
dc.type.journalArticleArticle-
dc.subject.keywordAuthorMinimum mortality temperature-
dc.subject.keywordAuthorClimate-
dc.subject.keywordAuthorAdaptation-
dc.subject.keywordAuthorTime-series-
dc.subject.keywordAuthorDistributed lag nonlinear models-
dc.subject.keywordAuthorMulti-city-
dc.subject.keywordAuthorMulti-country-
dc.subject.keywordPlusHEAT-RELATED MORTALITY-
dc.subject.keywordPlusCOLD-
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