Effects of long-term climate change on global building energy expenditures

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This paper explores potential future implications of climate change on building energy expenditures around the globe. Increasing expenditures result from increased electricity use for cooling; and are offset to varying degrees, depending on the region, by decreased energy consumption for heating. The analysis is conducted using a model of the global buildings sector within the GCAM integrated assessment model. The integrated assessment framework is valuable because it represents socioeconomic and energy system changes that will be important for understanding building energy expenditures in the future. Results indicate that changes in net expenditures are not uniform across the globe. Net expenditures decrease in some regions, such as Canada and Russia, where heating demands currently dominate, and increase the most in areas with less demand for space heating and greater demand for space cooling. We explain these results in terms of the basic drivers that link building energy expenditures to regional climate. (C) 2018 Elsevier B.V.
Publisher
ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
Issue Date
2018-05
Language
English
Article Type
Article
Keywords

DEMAND; SECTOR; TECHNOLOGIES; CHOICE; MARKET; CHINA; US

Citation

ENERGY ECONOMICS, v.72, pp.667 - 677

ISSN
0140-9883
DOI
10.1016/j.eneco.2018.01.003
URI
http://hdl.handle.net/10203/245709
Appears in Collection
MT-Journal Papers(저널논문)
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